印度发射导弹是学中国吗

大家好，我是一文。据环球网报道称，当地时间二十七号十九时五十分左右，印军从阿布杜尔卡拉姆岛发射了一枚烈火舞洲际导弹，并以非常高的准确性落入孟加拉湾。 根据印度官方公布的数据来看，烈火五弹道导弹的射程达五千公里，弹头质量一点五吨，事实上这个射程挂不上洲际的门槛。不过转念一想，咱也知道弹道导弹的实际射程是和载号挂钩的，把一点五吨的载鹤降低一大半的话，还是勉勉强强可以够到八千公里上。 可是如此一来就出现了另一个问题，印度的核弹头小型化技术不行，把弹头载赫降低了，就搭载不了核弹了。印度目前的核弹头小型化进程怎么样，外界也不清楚，但是之前杜文龙大校说过，印度的核武器小型化能力还是不过关，一吨以下的核弹， 但还是拿不出来，这就足以说明问题了。不过再回到印度媒体报道本身来看，印度时报还声称本次试试的烈火舞具备了极速式多弹头投射能力， 也不知是真是假，如果属实的话，那就说明印度一口气突破了核弹头小型化、极速式多弹头搭载技术，以及这两条科技树上大量子技术，但是也不排除是口嗨。 另外，从亚洲国际新闻社的报道中来看，本次烈火五弹道导弹的试射是在一段铁轨上进行的，并且终于有了导弹储存发射桶， 于是印度媒体就开始认为这是印度掌握了机动式铁路发射技术的证据。印度有没有掌握铁路发射技术我们不知道，但是可以肯定的是，印度目前完全没有掌握 t e l 发射车的制造技术，而机动式铁路发射技术可以简单的看成是把 t e l 整个搬 到了火车皮上，其中要牵扯到的快速测地技术，精密防震等等又是一大堆技术问题。目前世界上确定已经掌握 thl 的只有中美俄三家，就算是中国也是在二零一零年前后才把这项难关给拿下的。而印度塔塔这个重型卡车才造立所的公司， 能这么快掌握 tl 这种顶天星技术吗？说实话不太可能。另外，成熟的铁路发射技术，比如俄罗斯的末日列车，那可是一条列车拉出去，完全不与外界联络，还能够在西伯利亚荒原自持十天半个月，并且能够执行合反机甚至合营机任务的狠角色。 而印度这次发射烈火舞的铁轨也没看到火车皮也没看到千斤顶，怎么看都像是个厂区内的运输工具而已，就像是大厂厂区内运煤的铁轨一样。所以印度掌握铁路发射技术一说，也就是 动媒体的不负责说法罢了。最后，这次发射的具体情况如何？比如说这次投射质量是多少，但到高度，载入速度，射程和落点区域大小目前都没有公布。 不过也不用太过上心，毕竟洲际导弹这种上上个时代的东西，印度到现在都没搞清楚，而我们中国已经在高中因素定向能武器这种次时代科技上一马当先，实在不必为一个还没有登堂入室的烈火舞导弹而担忧。

印度十一号宣布，印度在其东部的奥里斯邦的一个岛上成功测试了一种能够携带多枚核弹头的导弹，这表明印度国产的烈火五计划有了最新的进展。 根据印度两名资深的先人官员表示说，这款名为烈火舞的洲际弹导导弹装备了多个独立目标，载入飞行器 mirv 技术，能够一次性对不同地点发动多次攻击。 这种导弹技术在过去几年中由印度国有的国防研究和发展组织来研发。通过本次飞行测试，印度加入了像美国、中国、俄罗斯和法国等少数拥有这一技术的国家行列。 到目前为止，印度已经开发并且测试烈火系列导弹十多年，其目的就是要追赶中国的军事实力。印度首次在二零一二年测试过烈火五系列，并从那个时候 后期啊一直在进行技术改进，并且重新测试。印度表示说，烈火五计划符合印度拥有可信的最低威慑力的既定政策，以及承诺不首先使用核武器。 在二零一九年，印度成功测试了一种能够在太空中来摧毁卫星的导弹，这项技术也只有少数几个国家拥有，而这种地对地烈火导弹虽然能够高精度打击超过五千公里的目标，但是这还是落后于中国最远程的导弹这样一个能力。 清德里的一位国防分析师表示说，烈火舞的发展主要针对印度的周边国家，这不由得让人猜测印度针对这是中国，因为印度与中国之间的关系一直很紧张，特别是与中国在边境问题上存在摩擦。有国际舆论认为说，印度的这一行为可能会被邻国尤其是中国视为对其 安全的直接威胁，从而加剧地区紧张局势。同时呢，这也可能会导致军被竞赛，特别是在核武器和导弹领域，那么从而增加这个误判或冲突的风险。那么，印度的导弹测试和这一技术的最新的进展可能会对全球核部扩散体系产生压力。 虽然印度并不是不扩散核武器条约签署国，但其行为可能会被视为挑战国际限制核武器扩散的各种努力，特别是在印度最新的烈火五具有携带多枚核弹头的这一能力上面。 一些国防分析师认为说啊，印度这一技术的发展和部署可能会被视为对现有的军控协议的挑战，尤其是在涉及洲际弹道导弹和核武器的部署方面。这可能会影响到全球范围内关于军被控制和军被削减的未来谈判以及相关协 的签署上面，特别是那些致力于核武器减少和实现核财军的国家和组织，他们担心的焦点可能包括对这一地区安全稳定的影响，以及这一行动对全球战略平衡的长期作用。 美国的一些致富专家认为说，尽管印度这一行为被视为是加强其国家安全和战略地位的一种努力，但是在加剧区域紧张、潜在促进军备竞赛以及挑战国际和不扩散努力方面，其潜在的危险性和负面作用不容忽视。 因此，如何通过外交和国际合作来管理这些挑战，减少负面后果将是未来各国领导人、国际组织专家学者等关注的一个重要议题， 而这也同样需要国际社会来共同参与，通过对话、合作和创新的解决方案来应对这些挑战，并寻求长期的和平与稳定。

烈火舞导弹每次试射，印度媒体都会拿出来炒作一番，并且很自然的要扯上中国，这是什么原因呢？烈火舞真的能吓唬住中国吗？方老师，至少从印度军方包括印度媒体的眼中，他们真的就是觉得这种导弹， 呃，至少他们是这么认为，是为中国所谓量身定造的啊。为什么？你看他射程五千公里以上，这个射程，老师讲你说远吗？不算远，近吧，也不算太近。远不远？近不近，你放在我们中国，按我们中国这个弹道导弹射程划分来讲，他算不了洲际，顶多就算他个远程，但就这个导弹 放在印度人手里，你看看吧，印度把这手弹的这个导弹揣在手里，掂在手里，他茫然似故，你觉得他有可能拿来对付谁啊？啊？对付美俄？显然这个有点够不着吧。对付巴基斯坦用不着吗？烈火三，烈火四，足够覆盖巴巴基斯坦全部纵身了吗？那么还能有谁？这就和尚 头上的狮子明摆着了吧。至于说这种导弹啊，这个印度媒体为什么反反复复对他如此关注，如此厚爱，其实我觉得与他不太好的某种心理恐怕是有很大的关系。我们都知道啊，目前印度是唯一的一个跟我们在路上边境线没有解决的这个问题没有解决的这么一个国家。那么在历史上， 这说起来都半个多世纪之前了，几十年前的事了啊。这个确实，因为这个领路上的领土争端曾经 兵龙相见过，我们叫自卫还击作战啊，他们叫所谓的北方的边境战争，这场战争打的什么样？打成什么样子， 谁主动挑衅，挑衅之后又被打成什么样子，大家心知肚明，我们也不用多说，但是有一点我们要承认呐，那就是人家这口气没出来啊啊，主动挑衅之后被打了个烧鸡大窝脖，这口气出不来啊，出不来这口气，他 心里总要找点平衡啊。那怎么找平衡？真的战场上找恐怕又不太敢，又没有这个实力，那只能拿这些东西不断的去比一比吧啊，大到拿他的经济实力，发展速度啊，你看偶尔有的时候发展速度，疫情没来之前某年发展速度超过经中国了啊，觉得 举国上下有欢呼雀跃啊，动不动要拿他的所谓经济首都这个孟买跟中国的魔都上海比一比，这种比法在我们眼里看起来很可笑，但是在印度，他的至少他的社会中，他的媒体中， 他就是这种语境啊，这就是一种正直正确啊。至于说这个东西能不能唬得住人，我们只能用呵呵来应对嘛。毕竟 虽然你也算是有何国家啊，虽然国际上不一定承认你也算是有何国家，但是有何国家跟有何国家，那个是可以差出一个数量级来的。再强调一点，如果本身你就跟人家差了一个数量级， 而且人家手里不仅有矛，而且有盾，攻防兼备，你觉得你拿这个东西在别人面前耍一耍，这是不是真的应了我们中国的一句老话叫关公面前耍大刀呢？

当地时间十月二十七号晚间，印度国防部发布新闻稿称，当晚十九点五十分左右，印度从奥利萨邦的阿布杜尔卡拉姆综合试验场成功发射了烈火舞弹到导弹。 该行导弹采用三级固体火箭发动机，能以非常高的精度打击远达五千公里的目标。基本搞称这次成功发射符合印度的既定政策及拥有可信的、最低限度的威慑，这是印度不首先使用承诺的基础。 尽管印度军方在措辞中回避了核威慑核武器的字眼，但烈火舞的成功试射对印度构建实战化的远程核打击能力无一具有非常明显的意义。 公开资料显示，一九七四年五月十八号，印度进行首次核试验后，便着手实施核武器运载工具的研究。一九八三年， 英迪拉甘地政府启动阿戈尼导弹计划，发展用于携带核弹头的中成弹道导弹。阿戈尼在范雨中是烈火的意思，这项计划也被人们称为烈火导弹计划。 经过三十多年的发展，烈火导弹已从最初的中程弹道导弹演变成射程，涵盖中进程、中程、远程和所谓洲际范围的固体燃料导弹家族。 其中，烈火一射程七百公里，烈火二射程两千公里，烈火三射程三千五百公里，烈火四射程四千公里，而烈火五的射程突破了五千公里，可将亚洲大部和半个欧洲纳入打击范围， 是目前印度核武湖中射程最远、速度最快、突防能力最强的导弹，被印度自称为洲际弹道导弹。印度时报原因 一名官员的化称，一伙五在十月二十七号晚的试射中携带了一点五吨重的弹头，最大速度达到二十四倍，音速相当于每秒超过了八公里。导弹精确命中了位于孟加拉湾的预定区域。 报道指出，这次试射具有两个重要意义，一是首次由掌管印度核武器的三军战略司令部实施发射及首次用户测试二是烈火五首次在夜间进行发射。 对于这次试射，印度各大主流媒体不约而同的扯上中国炒作，称这是对中国展示实力。美联社也引用印度专家的话强调称烈火舞导弹的射程可覆盖中国全境。 截止目前，烈火舞导弹尚未交付印度三军战略部队司令部。有印度官员对印度爆业托拉斯表示，第八次试射成功为该行导弹的正式交付铺平了道路。

let me start with professor golf first ah， why does china seem so rattle after all ah this is an indigenous development by indian scientists of the defense research and development organization a ah five thousand kilometer range ugney five missile which has multiple intended reentry vehicle ah capability why is china getting so rattled by that nowhere is india said that this technology is aimed at china thank you very much for having me i disagree with your question i think china has may process to the indian government for two things one is the deployment of about ten thousand， indian troops to the disputed areas between china and india secondly china protested against prime minister's modi to the disputed area in the eastern section of china， indian border uh which is called the south tibet by china and called as arunacho prodish by india now there is no dispute that there the border dispute does exist and china india need to handle their bothers is built carefully rather than provoking each other and china believed the deployment of ten， thousand cubes and prime minister mode is visit to our natural prodish as indian cause it and as south debate as china cause it is highly provocative that's the reason of the chinese protest you know， but the fact that this missile was tested yesterday prime minister modi went to our nachol politicians saturday and on the day that this missile is tested and india announces to the world that the missile has been tested that's when china decides to make a noise about the aeronautial british visit not on the day that it happened i don't think so i think as a sovereign country， india has all right to develop its own defense weapons of all kinds and the china has no problem with that china india need to follow a pathway of peace with each other rather their militarization against each other or provoking each other that's why china takes it very as a matter of fact the announcement of the indian villagery achievements to a certain degree i think any significant indian achievement is welcomed by china let me ask general has known there are only five other countries the p5 countries countries essentially， which have this mirv technology india now becomes the sixth and clearly if you have an intercontinental ballistic messile at five thousand kilometer range and with this mirv technology which can carry multiple nuclear warheads isn't the message to china even if it is onset see first of all zaka， i have a great respect for professor gao with the intellectual of great repute and therefore， but i have to i have to counter them in his perception here this whole aspect of missile warfare china has developed this capability for many years， last 20， 30 years they have a entire arm called the second artillery， which is dedicated essentially to missile reindeer don't have anything of that kind we were very limited missivery so far what we are attempting to essentially do is to catch up with the rest of the world in fact， it's a very good thing that among the fight among the bigger powers we have also now got the capability and this is not necessarily targeted at china we've demonstrated our capability of nations develop and test such equipment， such weaponry essentially to also a certain their own technological capability and what threshold have they been able to reach up to if china perceives are test by india as a threat to itself then this that's china's perception it not necessarily india is concerned about that they we should be perceiving similarly every time that china talks about missili， the kind of things that they do over taiwan and places like that are equally transcrust so， but we had not been protesting about that， but but general i think if i i think this technology of mir we which is a missile that's a with a range of five thousand kilometers capable of hitting beijing as they say but more importantly can cap can carry up to three to five nuclear warheads isn't that more for deterrence reasons and particularly more so because india has a no first use policy rather than for actual deployment it's not like this rocket is going to be deployed tomorrow at the lac absolutely zack absolutely and we are not going to war with china and china also knows is not going to war with us these are things which nations do for their protection these are all ac absolutely connect these are acts of deterrence which you do from time to time and china is not the only one with whom we have to you know develop that capability we have others around us we have we live in a in a neighborhood， which is a disturbed in neighborhood so i think china should not feel really disturbed about this because it has developed his own capabilities over a period of time and we have never protested about it okay， no the problem professor gow is it's not just forget about india china you know india， china's behavior towards india particularly in the last three four years that's a matter of a completely different debate altogether india looks around the region and chinese behavior around the region whether it is with japan or with south korea， or with vietnam or with philippines and and of course with taiwan what is the signal that india supposed to to derive that here is a country， which has superpower ambitions， which is trying to change the status go and sometimes even militarily push the envelope ah if if if ah， if it came down to that so the the signal and the only ah meaning that india can decipher out of this is that india has to fortify its defenses because today， it is taiwan and philippines tomorrow it could be india so india is just fortifying its defenses with the test of the agony five allow me to emphasize one thing china is a superpower in the world china is one of the five permanent member states in the security council of the united nations china is underpowered with the united states militarily and china is a larger economy than the us economy if we use verges in power parity and china is next only to the united states if we use official exchange rate china today in terms of its size of economy is more than five times that are india this is the reality however， please spare in mind china has achieved all this transformation through peace not occupying any single inch of foreign land not occupying any foreign country you talked about uh taiwan read indian governments position， indian government recognizes and acknowledges there is only one china， taiwan is part of china that's the reality don't get that wrong look at china japan relations japan unconditionally surrender to china and the united states and the former soviet union signing an experiment of unconditional surrender in that surrender japan undertook some commitments you never want to allow japan to relay their commitment sign into the instrument of the unconditional serenda otherwise you take the risk of resurrecting the shadows of imperialism in japan no， no， but professor you're missing the point the point being that there's only one country that seems to have a problem with its neighbors or at least its neighbors seem to have a problem with it i never hear of indonesia complaining about japanese high handedness or about cambodia complain or thailand complaining about south korean high handedness everybody is worried about chinese hedger money so then who is the problem with i disagree allow me to tell you one symbol too china has 14 land neighboring countries china signed border treating with 12 of them including vietham china has a border treaty agreement with vietnam only two countries have not signed border treaty with china india， your great india and putan which is controlled by india in terms of diplomacy and military okay china has signed border treaty with among all the others russia， do you hear any problem between china russia which share border of four thousand and three hundred kilometers in the recent past historically you know the soviet union and china never saw i to i would be that as a mate that that's that's not the point of to tonight's debate， but。